Showing posts with label IMF. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IMF. Show all posts

Friday, May 10, 2013

From class banking to mass banking

On July 19, 1969, 14 private banks were nationalised in India. Over four decades later, the ruling Congress party continues to bask in the legacy of Indira Gandhi and her crucial decision that changed banking in India
The decision by the central government to nationalise 14 private sector banks in July 1969 is often cited as a defining moment for India. Arguably the most important economic decision taken by any Indian government since 1947, its impact – political, social and economic – is something that even the reforms of 1991 cannot compare to. In fact, it was because of this decision that Indian banks emerged relatively unharmed from the recent global financial crisis.

The road to this social control of banks, however, wasn’t constructed overnight. Although the idea of social control of banks emerged in 1967, the Economic Programme Committee of the All India Congress Committee (AICC) in its report in 1948 had already strongly recommended that banking and insurance should be nationalised as part of a total package for establishing “a just social order”. The matter, however, rested for a decade and a half until the political climate called for it.

The reasons behind this decision, by the then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi, were dictated both by economics and politics. In January 1966, when Indira Gandhi ascended to power with the help of the ‘Syndicate’ of older and more established Congress leaders (K. Kamaraj, S. Nijalingappa, Nilam Sanjiva Reddy, Atulya Ghosh, Srinivas Mallya, S. K. Patil among others), India was besieged by several problems.

Severe droughts had brought down the crop yield, prices had shot up by 16% and US food aid was heavily dictated by geopolitics. A foreign exchange crisis was brewing with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) demanding that India devalue its currency. On a separate front, the country flared up with identity politics in Punjab and Haryana, inter-state feuds between Karnataka and Maharashtra over the newly independent Goa, anti-Hindi agitation in Tamil Nadu and tribal troubles threatening peace in the north eastern states


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2013.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
 
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles

Thursday, February 7, 2013

The European Central Bank to analyse who all are next in the felicitation parade

Though EU & IMF have agreed on an audacious $956 billion bailout plan for the Euro zone to control the sovereign debt crisis that started with Greece, it won’t be of much help. B&E talks to experts across continents, including the European Central Bank to analyse who all are next in the felicitation parade by Manish K Pandey

Then again, Spain isn’t far behind too (Nobel laureate Paul Krugman in fact has mentioned, “The biggest trouble spot isn’t Greece, it’s Spain.”). With the unemployment rate hovering over 20% and the budget deficit at 11.2%, the possibility of Spain being the next epicentre can’t be ignored. And if that happens, it would be really difficult for policymakers to handle the chaos in the euro zone as Spain’s economy (which is fourth-largest in the Euro zone) accounts for about 12% of Euro-zone GDP. While rating agency S&P has already downgraded Spain’s debt to AA from AA+, even the yields on Spanish 10-year bonds are touching their highest level (4.27%) since 1999.

Though both the nations have decided to cut upon their spending to bring down spiralling budget deficits (while Spain plans to cut its budget deficit to 9.3% of GDP this year from 11.2% in 2009, Portugal plans to slash it to 7.3% of GDP, from 9.4% in 2009), it will take them years before that actually happens.

Eszter Miltényi from the European Central Bank draws a bleak picture to B&E while also commenting, “The latest information shows that the correction of the large fiscal imbalances will, in general, require a stepping-up of current efforts. Fiscal consolidation will need to exceed substantially the annual structural adjustment of 0.5% of GDP set as a minimum requirement by the Stability and Growth Pact. The longer the fiscal correction is postponed, the higher is the risk of reputation and confidence losses.” The Spanish Central Bank apologised to B&E for “not being more helpful” while refusing to answer “political subjects.”

While a communiqué sent to B&E by the US Department of the Treasury (which says that the determined & consistent implementation of the financial programme by Greece, combined with this exceptional assistance from the member states of the Euro-Zone and IMF will help restore financial stability in Greece and promote market confidence) shows that there is that political will to the solve the problem, numbers demonstrate that the task is really tough in reality.

“$765 billion is what would be needed to prevent defaults in all of three (including Italy) of Europe’s weaker southern tier economies,” says a report from IHS Global Insight. No doubt, EU & IMF have agreed on an audacious $956 billion bailout plan for the Euro zone to hold back the escalating sovereign debt crisis that started with Greece, but then one should not forget that both EU and IMF have had a hard time mobilising even the $57.34 billion promised to Greece, leave alone the $956 billion promised package. And evidently, what is in reality required is almost twice that figure (close to $2 trillion) for the European Union to survive this new wave of post-recessionary economic collapse.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.