Showing posts with label UPA government. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UPA government. Show all posts

Thursday, May 30, 2013

Raisina Hills to the rescue?

A besieged Congress-led UPA seeking to clear crucial pending bills may opt in for the ordinance route, reports Pramod Kumar

When in trouble, seek divine intervention. That is what UPA-2 appears to be doing. Besieged under a slew of scams that have stalled the Parliament in the last few sessions, the government is battling its ghosts and wondering how best to go about introducing various important bills that are pending because they cannot be introduced on the floor of the house.

In their endeavour, the Congress is tacitly dependent upon the man sitting on the Raisina Hills, the incumbent of the Rashtrapati Bhavan, Pranab Mukerjee, to bail them out with a series of ordinances which UPA is now set to introduce, having failed to win parliamentary approval.

The situation is on a razor’s edge. The BJP-led opposition parties are hell bent on blunting any move perceived to be electorally motivated in favour of the ruling party – and that includes a clutch of crucial bills which the government now plans to introduce as ordinances.

Leader of Opposition Sushma Swaraj told TSI, "Our party is keen to expose the Sonia-Manmohan government for what it is – a corruption-laden, incompetent  dispensation. Merely introducing bills and glossing over uncomfortable facts is not enough. We want a debate on floor of the House."

According to her, the litany of opposition grievances is pretty long and so far the government has not come up with any cogent answers. It is this stonewalling by the opposition parties which led to the logjam in the Parliament, as a result of which important bills have been put on the waiting list. The fact that all trade unions sinking their differences decided to protest against the government’s economic policies is a telling comment on the UPA government, she says.

But insiders in the Congress believe that if the Budget Session of the Parliament also goes the way of other sessions – adjourned more often than deliberated – it suits the government because a lot of things do not come on record. Statements issued out of the house or on TV channels may have entertainment value but not very much else.
 
Union Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kamal Nath agrees that the current monsoon session of Parliament is going to be crucial. (See interview) There are 55 bills, 13 non-legislative financial bills and 16 new legislation which are waiting to be introduced. Nath says he is hopeful of cooperation with the opposition parties, which is why important bills like Crime Against Women, Land Acquisition and Food Security are likely to be introduced within the first fortnight of the monsoon session.

Congress sources believe this session is going to be as stormy as the last, given the number of potentially ticklish subjects on the table: the Westland Helicopter scam, Afzal Guru’s hanging and rampant inflation, to name just three.

But the government is mentally prepared now: if critical bills like Food Security, Lokpal, Job Reservations etc are not passed in Parliament, they are quite prepared to to sent it to the Rashtrapati Bhavan for endorsement. Even if it is for the sake of tokenism or appearances, the UPA government would be seen to be making moves in that direction and go to elections in 2014 on those grounds seeking a mandate.

Says SP’s Ram Gopal Yadav: "The problems are a creation of the Congress itself. It is surprising that despite renowned economists at the helm, Manmohan Singh and Pranab Mukerjee, things have gone so wrong. Industrial production has come down, inflation is out of control, people are buying Chinese goods instead of Indian and the UPA government is shameless enough to say that economic reforms have been given a boost as compared to the NDA regime."

BJP’s maverick Ram Jethmalani credits the UPA government with one major gain during its two tenures: the untrammeled growth of black money in the economy. He says this is a government of multiple scams, often involving family members of VIPs. "It is no surprise that bills are pending. History will assess the Manmohan Singh government to be the most corrupt ever. Will people still vote for Sonia, that is a million-dollar question,’’ he says.

Some of these charges may well stick. Manmohan Singh, during Congress’s Chintin Shivir in Jaipur recently compared the progress of his government with the NDA’s and also added that the benefits provided by this government is not reaching the masses. That, some people in the party quipped, was the job assigned to Singh’s government in the first place.

Which is why Rahul Gandhi was given charge as Congress vice-president and his role confined to the party organisation. Party strategists believe that Rahul should be seen as being instrumental in introducing bills close to minority causes. The Congress scion has held three important meetings with Manmohan Singh and Finance Minister P Chidambaram  to hammer out these issues and has impressed upon the government to launch a full-fledged advertisement campaign highlighting the gains of the UPA government – cautioning at the same time against NDA’s Indian Shining type of campaign. Minister of State for Information and Broadcasting Manish Tiwari has been put in charge of this Congress blitzkrieg.

All this has put Kamal Nath in a jam. He has sounded the party high command on the most vexed of all his problems: if so many bills are already pending, how can the government introduce fresh bills on the floor of the house?

Congress leaders indicate that a special committee under the chairmanship of Congress think tank member Sam Pitroda will assess just how the party will proceed to change these bills into ordinances. This panel could also well decide the Congress agenda in the crucial months ahead leading upto General Elections 2014.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2013.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
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Tuesday, May 7, 2013

Underestimating the Indian Voter Again and Again and...

The so called mainstream media is at it again – making a fool of itself and displaying unending contempt for the native intelligence of the Indian voter. Once again, we are being told by pundits and sycophantic and servile courtiers masquerading as columnists that the Congress and the UPA have got their mojo back and look set to win the Lok Sabha elections due in 2014. The reasons offered are many. For one, the BJP is in a mess and has failed to capitalize on the serial scams haunting the Congress since 2010. Then again, the voter is wary of a rag tag Third or Fourth Front government propped up by outside support and will reluctantly vote again for the Congress. The most servile are writing about how Rahul Gandhi and his computer baba log are drawing up a “fool” proof strategy to woo voters. The pink papers have been screaming hoarse about the return of P. Chidambaram as the Finance Minister and how he will get the economy back on a high growth path. A related part of this delusional narrative is hailing the decision to allow FDI in retail and capping the use of subsidized LPG cylinders at six a year as proof that the UPA government is determined to push for “reforms”. Of course, the game changer is supposed to be what Jairam Ramesh so cutely described as “Aapka paisa, Aapke Haath”. Yes, I am talking about the decision to resort to cash transfer of subsidies to beneficiaries using the Aadhar scheme. So powerful is the alleged impact of this game changing decision that even mainstream media professionals who are critical of the Congress and the Gandhi dynasty are complaining that the ruling party is resorting to bribing the voters to win another election. In all of this, there seems to be a near unanimity that the Congress will pull off yet another stunning victory. They draw parallels with 2009 when the NREGA scheme was used as a bribe to the Indian voters to win elections. Of course, there are many who are still saying that the Indian voter is still so angry, so outraged and so pissed off with the corruption, hubris and arrogance of this government that they are determined to vote against the Congress. But such voices have been drowned in the cacophony of predicting yet another Congress victory.

I can only marvel and laugh at such malarkey and nonsense. For ages, the New Delhi-based mainstream media has utterly failed to read the intentions of the Indian voter. It has a habit of getting it wrong almost every time. And yet, it persists in such hogwash. Allow me to quote columnist Tavleen Singh who was a young reporter in 1977 when Indira Gandhi lifted the Emergency and called for elections. She writes:

“It became clear that Mrs.Gandhi wanted to restore her image as a democratic leader and this could only happen if the coming elections were seen to be fair. Within days of the elections being announced, most of the opposition leaders who were still in jail were released. They were no longer worth keeping in jail since nobody, not even the opposition leaders themselves, thought in January 1977 that Mrs.Gandhi had the slightest chance of losing this election. Every report, even from her own intelligence agencies, indicated that she might lose a few seats; but that there was no chance of a total defeat.”

That was 35 years ago. Since then, in election after election, the mainstream media has almost always forecasted it wrong – the only notable exception being 1984, when Rajiv Gandhi won a historic mandate after the assassination of Indira Gandhi.

It would be easy to conclude that most of the mainstream media is blindly and abjectly supportive of the Congress and the Gandhi dynasty when it comes to forecasting election results. A hell of a lot of our mainstream media is guilty of that. But the bigger crime is its failure to read voter intentions. Just go back to the spring of 2004 and you will realize what I am talking about. Let me give you just one example. The much talked about research agency AC Nielsen was commissioned by NDTV and The Indian Express to conduct an opinion poll and make a forecast for the 2004 Lok Sabha elections. In a largest of its kind survey, around 40,000 respondents were asked about their voting intentions. The forecast was that the then ruling NDA would win between 287 to 307 seats and rule India for another five years. The BJP was projected to win around 200 seats while the Congress was projected to win around 100 seats. Let me give you one more example from the same year when assembly elections were held along with Lok Sabha elections in Andhra Pradesh. A prestigious survey that featured in the Outlook magazine had the following forecast for the state. The then ruling Telugu Desam was given around 165 seats while the Congress and its allies were given around 125 seats. So NDTV said in 2004 that the NDA would rule India for another five years and Outlook said in 2004 that Chandrababu Naidu and his party would rule Andhra Pradesh for another five years. We all know what the actual results were.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2013.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
 
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Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Some food for thought

100 days is too little time to provide food to the millions of hungry. Importantly, there is no point trying either.

Food security is again back in the news. After being used as tool to grab votes, now it appears as if the President of India too is keen on the fact that the subject is accorded high priority. However, it appears rather unrealistic that problems, which could not been solved in 62 years after the independence, can be settled within the first 100 days of this UPA government! But then, what is the hurry?

Already trouble is brewing up between the Planning Commission and the Ministry of Agriculture. The supply side would be a problem as within a time span of mere 100 days the things cannot be put into place. Besides, in its hurry the high-budgeted food security plan may (in all probability) would reach those who don’t need it and the needy people would be left, as usual, holding the can. There are other problems as well. The first is that the government is not yet decided as to whom it should target under the National Food Security Act. Data till 1996 shows that there are 360 million people living below poverty line (BPL). But since it is almost impossible to feed so many people at one go, the number of those covered would be 275 million. There is no consensus on how this figure was reached. As per the N. C. Saxena committee, which was formed to identify the numbers of BPL, the figures could be as high as 500 million. This coupled with the bottlenecks in the public distribution system, besides supply loopholes, makes it impossible for the food security plan to become successful.

But then it’s not the only problem?

The cost of implanting such a plan would be astronomical and there are no indications to an exact figure. Even the Finance Ministry has not offered any clues. As per sources Agriculture Ministry is looking at the Planning Commission to find a way out. It’s really sad that the three ministries involved do not have a clue.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.

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